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How Colorado Investors Use Comps to Price a Deal

Brian Lee BurkeBrian Lee Burke
Jun 9, 2023 • 6 min read
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How Colorado Investors Use Comps to Price a Deal

Colorado real estate investors use comps — recent sales of similar nearby homes — to answer one question before they write an offer: what will this property actually sell or rent for. A comp-based number, not a listing price or a rule of thumb, is what keeps a Front Range deal from overpaying in a market that moves fast between Denver, Aurora and Colorado Springs.

This guide covers where Colorado investors pull comps, how many to use, which adjustments matter at altitude, and how comps change depending on whether the plan is a rental hold or a flip. If the plan is buying, our guide to making an offer on a Colorado home covers how comps translate into an actual offer price.

What Are Real Estate Comps in Colorado?

Comps, short for comparables, are closed sales of homes near the subject property that share its size, age, condition and lot type. Investors and appraisers pull three to six comps, adjust each one for differences from the subject, and land on a value range instead of a single guessed number.

  • Location: proximity to parks and trails, commute distance to the Denver core or a job center, and the specific subdivision or metro district drive value more than the city name alone.
  • Age and condition: a 1970s Aurora ranch with an unfinished basement and original mechanicals does not comp against a fully remodeled version two blocks over.
  • Size and lot: above-grade square footage carries more weight than finished basement square footage in most Front Range appraisals.
  • Recent market direction: a comp from eight months ago in a market where prices moved 3% since then needs a time adjustment before it is useful.

Where Do Colorado Investors Pull Comps From?

A licensed agent with MLS access through REcolorado (the Denver metro MLS) or Pikes Peak MLS in Colorado Springs pulls the most accurate comps, because MLS data includes concession details, days on market and the exact sale terms that public sites miss. Public sites like Zillow show a Zestimate built from county assessor data and automated valuation models, and those estimates run wider off actual sale price on unique properties, new construction and homes with a finished basement.

  • MLS pull through an agent or broker: the most accurate source, includes concessions and terms.
  • County assessor records: free, shows assessed value and past sale price, but assessed value lags the market by up to two years under Colorado's reassessment cycle.
  • Automated estimates (Zestimate, Redfin Estimate): fast, free, and off by a wider margin on unique homes, acreage and new construction.
  • An appraisal: the most defensible number for financing, built from three to six comps with line-item adjustments.

How Far Back Should Comps Go in a Fast-Moving Front Range Market?

Pull comps from the last 90 days first. If fewer than three closed sales exist within a half mile in that window, extend to six months and add a time adjustment for each month between the comp's closing and today, based on the neighborhood's recent price trend. A comp older than twelve months needs a larger adjustment and carries less weight than an active or pending listing in the same block.

How Many Comps Does an Accurate Value Need?

Three comps is the floor; five to six gives a tighter range. Use a mix: at least one comp that sold below the subject's estimated value and one that sold above it, so the adjusted range brackets the true number instead of anchoring to a single optimistic sale.

What Adjustments Do Denver Appraisers Make That Other States Skip?

Front Range appraisals carry line items that do not show up in flatter, lower-elevation markets:

AdjustmentWhy it applies in Colorado
Finished basementDenver metro homes commonly have basements; a finished basement with egress windows adds bedroom-equivalent value, an unfinished one does not
Roof age and class ratinghail season runs from spring through September on the Front Range, so a roof replaced after a hail claim comps differently than an original 20-year-old roof
HOA and metro district duesa comp with a $60 monthly HOA is not equivalent to a subject with a $180 monthly metro district mill levy plus HOA
Lot orientation and xeriscapelow-water landscaping changes buyer appeal and maintenance cost differently than a Colorado home still carrying a full irrigated lawn
View and elevationa mountain view or south-facing lot for solar exposure adds a premium that a flat comp sheet will not capture on its own

How Does Altitude and Hail Season Change Comp Adjustments?

At 5,280 feet, UV exposure ages roofing, siding and exterior paint faster than at sea level, so exterior condition carries more weight in a Colorado comp adjustment than in a coastal market. Hail season (spring through September) means a roof's age and whether it carries Class 4 impact-resistant shingles change both the comp adjustment and the buyer's insurance quote, which affects what they can actually offer.

How Do Comps Differ for a Rental Purchase Versus a Flip?

A flip comps against finished retail sales — what a buyer will pay for the home fully renovated, minus renovation cost and holding costs, to land on a maximum offer. A rental purchase comps against both sale price and market rent: pull rental comps from similar units on the same MLS rental feed or from property managers, then run the numbers against a Denver metro cap rate.

What Is a Good Cap Rate for a Denver Metro Rental?

Single-family rentals in the Denver metro trade at cap rates in the 4% to 6% range as of this year, with duplexes and small multifamily running slightly higher because purchase price per unit drops. Colorado Springs and Pueblo post higher cap rates than Denver proper, reflecting lower purchase prices relative to rent.

How Do You Comp a Property With No Recent Sales Nearby?

Rural and mountain-adjacent Colorado properties (parts of the Front Range foothills, acreage outside Castle Rock or Parker) lack close comps in most cases. Widen the radius to two or three miles, weight land value and improvement value separately using county assessor land tables, and lean on a licensed appraiser familiar with rural Colorado comps rather than an automated estimate, which performs worse on acreage and horse properties.

How Do HOA Dues and Metro District Taxes Change a Comp-Based Offer?

Two homes that comp identically on square footage and finish can carry very different carrying costs once Colorado metro district mill levies are added to the property tax bill. Ask for the metro district disclosure and total mill levy before finalizing an offer built from raw comps, since a $250 monthly difference in dues and district tax changes the real return by thousands a year.

How Does Denver's Reassessment Cycle Affect Comp-Based Pricing?

Colorado reassesses property for tax purposes every odd year, so the assessed value on the county site can run well behind current market comps in a fast-appreciating year and closer to market in a flat one. Use closed sale comps for pricing decisions and treat the assessed value only as a tax estimate, not a value opinion.

Where to go next

Talk to the Kenna Real Estate Group

The Kenna Real Estate Group pulls MLS comps for investors buying, selling or pricing a Front Range rental or flip, and builds a Smart Pricing Report on request for a specific property. Call or text 303-955-4220. A live person answers. Not a robot, not a phone tree. Or search every home for sale in Colorado to see current comps in your target area.

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Guides

Questions about any home in Colorado? Call or text 303-955-4220. A live person answers.

Quick answers

What is a real estate comp?

A recently closed sale of a similar nearby home, adjusted for differences in size, condition, age and location, used to estimate what a property will sell or rent for.

How many comps should a Colorado investor pull?

Three at minimum, five to six for a tighter range, mixing at least one comp above and one below the subject's estimated value.

Where does an agent pull Denver metro comps from?

REcolorado, the Denver metro MLS, which includes concession details and sale terms that public estimate sites do not show. Colorado Springs agents use Pikes Peak MLS.

How far back should a comp be in the Front Range market?

Within 90 days if possible. Comps older than six months need a time adjustment based on the neighborhood's recent price trend, and anything over a year carries little weight.

Does a finished basement change a Denver comp?

Yes. A finished basement with egress windows adds bedroom-equivalent value; an unfinished basement of the same square footage does not comp the same way.

What is a good cap rate for a Denver metro rental?

Single-family rentals trade at 4% to 6% cap rates in the Denver metro as of this year, with Colorado Springs and Pueblo running higher because purchase prices are lower relative to rent.

Do HOA dues and metro district taxes belong in a comp adjustment?

Yes. Two comparable homes can carry very different total carrying costs once a metro district mill levy is added to the property tax bill, which changes the real return on a comp-based offer.

Is a county assessor's value the same as a comp-based market value?

No. Colorado reassesses property every odd year, so the assessed value can run behind current market comps in a fast-appreciating stretch. Use closed sale comps for pricing, not the assessed value.

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WRITTEN BY
Brian Lee Burke
Brian Lee Burke
Team Leader and Licensed Broker, REALTOR® since 2002, Author

Brian Lee Burke is the founder and team leader of Kenna Real Estate Group, a real estate team at Keller Williams DTC. A licensed REALTOR® since 2002, Brian helps Colorado buyers and sellers navigate residential real estate, new construction, pricing, and negotiation. He is also the author of The Real Estate Playbook and Mastering Real Estate: Your Guide to Becoming a Top Agent.

View Brian Lee Burke’s full profile.

WRITTEN BY
Brian Lee Burke
Brian Lee Burke
Team Leader and Licensed Broker, REALTOR® since 2002, Author

Brian Lee Burke is the founder and team leader of Kenna Real Estate Group, a real estate team at Keller Williams DTC. A licensed REALTOR® since 2002, Brian helps Colorado buyers and sellers navigate residential real estate, new construction, pricing, and negotiation. He is also the author of The Real Estate Playbook and Mastering Real Estate: Your Guide to Becoming a Top Agent.

View Brian Lee Burke’s full profile.